Alex Imas and Phil Trammell discuss whether people will continue to value human involvement in services as automation expands, and how demand for new automated goods could affect labor share. They stress that the outcome depends on uncertain preferences and economic conditions.
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell consider possible transitions for displaced workers and compare redistribution and ownership mechanisms. They distinguish near-term employment evidence from speculative scenarios about much more capable AI.
Alex Imas and Phil Trammell discuss concentrated returns, access for developing countries and the tradeoffs between broad access, competition and safety. Dwarkesh Patel presses them on the assumptions behind each scenario rather than presenting a single forecast.
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