What is an innovator's dilemma?

Definition

Established organizations have incentives to serve current customers and preserve profitable products. A new approach may initially look less attractive or threaten existing revenue, so investing in it can conflict with near-term business priorities.

The concept explains a strategic tension rather than proving that every incumbent will fail. Outcomes depend on the technology, market and organizational response, and a specific company's motives still require evidence.

ELI5

Think of a successful company hesitating to build something new because it could reduce sales of the product that currently supports the company.

For example, a firm may protect its familiar service while a different way of solving the same customer problem grows into a serious competitor.

Does the concept mean existing leaders always make irrational choices?

No. Decisions can make sense for current customers and economics while creating difficulty with a later disruptive shift.

Does it prove why a particular company delayed a product?

No. It is an explanatory framework that still needs evidence about the specific company's decisions and circumstances.

  1. Jeff Dean in a light attention-blue top and Demis Hassabis in an off-white top on a black background beside the headline “GOOGLE'S AI DILEMMA”.
Definition card for innovator's dilemma: What is an innovator's dilemma?

An innovator's dilemma arises when choices that protect a successful existing business make it harder to pursue innovations that could later disrupt that business.