The presenter describes testing a prediction-market strategy using resting orders and estimates of fair value. The goal is to account for fees and slippage while seeking a price difference.
The video describes collecting market observations and using AI tools to help examine the data. The presenter reports a small early gain and emphasizes that the approach depends on the estimate being reliable.
The presenter discusses overfitting, the need for more observations and possible future simulationsEvaluation is the systematic assessment of a system's behaviour or results against explicit criteria.. A short test does not establish that the strategy is profitable or safe.
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